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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Los Angeles Dodgers v Cleveland Guardians

开赛时间： 2026-04-01 02:12 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Dodgers (主队)

预测 70.54%1.42公平赔率
EV -1.24%
优势 -0.889%
Kelly -3.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
68.85%70.38%70.50%71.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.361.371.4075.19%73.28%72.99%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Guardians (客队)

预测 29.46%3.39公平赔率
EV +0.166%
优势 +0.049%
Kelly +0.069%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.12%29.62%29.50%31.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.193.153.4032.79%31.37%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Los Angeles Dodgers (主队)：70.54%；Cleveland Guardians (客队)：29.46%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.39。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.40，对应+0.166%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.166%E +0.049%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-01 02:09
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.95%E -1.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -1.31%E -0.390%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-01 02:09
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -3.08%E -0.935%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.96%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 02:09
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:08
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.48%E -4.09%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 02:09
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:09
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 02:02
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 02:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.66%0.2%2026-04-01 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-04-01 02:10
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-04-01 02:10
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-01 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-01 02:10
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-04-01 02:10
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-01 02:10
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-04-01 02:10
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 41.84%1.00I 100.00%NM 58.16%71.9%2026-04-01 02:10