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Los Angeles Dodgers v Cleveland Guardians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)
Predicción 70.54%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.889%
Kelly -3.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.85%70.38%70.50%71.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.361.371.4075.19%73.28%72.99%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)
Predicción 29.46%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.166%
Ventaja +0.049%
Kelly +0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.62%29.50%31.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.193.153.4032.79%31.37%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 70.54%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 29.46%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.39. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.166%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.166%E +0.049%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV -1.01%E -0.301%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.95%E -1.40%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -1.31%E -0.390%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.78%E -0.843%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.91%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.09%EV -3.08%E -0.935%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.96%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.77%E -3.53%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.07%E -2.99%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.48%E -4.09%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.20%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.24%E -0.889%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.36%E -2.45%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.18%E -4.65%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 02:02 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.66%E -1.92%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.15%E -3.33%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.34% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.66% | 0.2% | 2026-04-01 02:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 41.84% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 58.16% | 71.9% | 2026-04-01 02:10 |