Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 14–6 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 50.96%1.96fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.89%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.98%50.95%50.98%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.861.872.0256.18%53.71%53.48%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 49.04%2.04fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.05%49.02%53.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.931.932.0155.87%51.92%51.81%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.96%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 49.04%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +2.95%E +1.46%K +2.89%G +0.085%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -12.23%E -6.83%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-18 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.44%E -0.716%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-18 22:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:59
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:30
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:20
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 12:59
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.44%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 23:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.23%E -3.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 07:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.75%E -4.28%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.77%E -4.90%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.32%E -3.87%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.81%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.77%E -5.31%K -11.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-18 23:39
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%13.1%2026-06-18 23:40