Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-06-18 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 14–6 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 50.96%1.96odd justa
EV +2.95%
Vantagem +1.46%
Kelly +2.89%
Crescimento +0.085%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.98%50.95%50.98%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.861.872.0256.18%53.71%53.48%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 49.04%2.04odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.716%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.05%49.02%53.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.931.932.0155.87%51.92%51.81%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.96%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 49.04%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.96. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.02, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.95%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +2.95%E +1.46%K +2.89%G +0.085%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -12.23%E -6.83%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-18 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.44%E -0.716%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-18 22:50
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:59
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:30
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:20
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 12:59
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.44%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 23:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.23%E -3.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 07:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.75%E -4.28%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.77%E -4.90%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.32%E -3.87%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.81%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.77%E -5.31%K -11.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-18 23:39
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%13.1%2026-06-18 23:40