L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 23:41 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 14–6 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 50.96%1.96cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +2.89%
Croissance +0.085%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.98%50.95%50.98%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.861.872.0256.18%53.71%53.48%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.04%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.05%49.02%53.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.931.932.0155.87%51.92%51.81%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +2.95%E +1.46%K +2.89%G +0.085%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -12.23%E -6.83%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-18 22:50
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.44%E -0.716%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-18 22:50
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:50
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:59
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:20
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:40
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 12:59
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:39
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 21:30
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.44%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 19:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 23:38
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.23%E -3.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 23:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 07:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 23:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.75%E -4.28%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.77%E -4.90%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.32%E -3.87%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.81%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.77%E -5.31%K -11.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-18 23:39
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%13.1%2026-06-18 23:40