مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kansas City Royals v St. Louis Cardinals

البداية: 2026-06-18 23:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kansas City Royals 14–6 St. Louis Cardinals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kansas City Royals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.96%1.96السعر العادل
EV +2.95%
الأفضلية +1.46%
Kelly +2.89%
النمو +0.085%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.98%50.95%50.98%52.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.861.872.0256.18%53.71%53.48%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.04%2.04السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.716%
Kelly -1.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.78%49.05%49.02%53.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.931.932.0155.87%51.92%51.81%49.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +2.95%E +1.46%K +2.89%G +0.085%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -12.23%E -6.83%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-18 22:50
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.44%E -0.716%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-18 22:50
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:50
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:59
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:20
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:40
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 12:59
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:39
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 21:30
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.44%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 19:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 23:38
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.23%E -3.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 23:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 07:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 23:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.75%E -4.28%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.77%E -4.90%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.32%E -3.87%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.81%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.77%E -5.31%K -11.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-18 23:39
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%13.1%2026-06-18 23:40