La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-06-18 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 14–6 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 50.96%1.96momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +1.46%
Kelly +2.89%
Crecimiento +0.085%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.98%50.95%50.98%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.861.872.0256.18%53.71%53.48%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 49.04%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%49.05%49.02%53.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.931.932.0155.87%51.92%51.81%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +2.95%E +1.46%K +2.89%G +0.085%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -12.23%E -6.83%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:40
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.91%E -1.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.64%E -0.849%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-18 22:50
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.44%E -0.716%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-18 22:50
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-18 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 23:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:50
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.67%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 20:59
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 21:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:20
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 19:40
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 12:59
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 22:39
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 21:30
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.44%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.21%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 19:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:40
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 23:38
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.23%E -3.38%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 23:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.93%E -0.964%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 07:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.87%E -2.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 21:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.74%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.89%E -1.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 23:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.36%E -2.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.85%E -3.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.75%E -4.28%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.38%E -2.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:40
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.34%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.83%E -3.60%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.28%E -5.02%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.77%E -4.90%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.32%E -3.87%K -8.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.81%E -4.16%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-18 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.28%E -5.22%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.77%E -5.31%K -11.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-18 23:40
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-18 23:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-06-18 23:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-06-18 23:40
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-18 23:39
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-06-18 23:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%13.1%2026-06-18 23:40