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Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 47.12%2.12fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.610%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.97%47.17%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.022.002.1552.08%49.54%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 52.88%1.89fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.03%52.83%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8758.82%55.83%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 47.12%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 52.88%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.31%E +0.610%K +1.14%G +0.015% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 00:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.99%E -0.955%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.65%E -0.886%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-17 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.87%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.28%E -2.63%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.11%E -5.95%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.70%E -3.38%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.69%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.52%E -4.93%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.03% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.97% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |