Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 00:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 7–6 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 47.12%2.12cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.610%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%46.97%47.17%48.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.022.002.1552.08%49.54%50.00%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.88%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.598%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.03%52.83%54.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.801.8758.82%55.83%55.56%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kansas City Royals (Local) : 47.12% ; San Diego Padres (Visiteur) : 52.88%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.12. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.15, soit une espérance positive de +1.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.31%E +0.610%K +1.14%G +0.015%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 00:09
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 20:39
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 00:03
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:34
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.99%E -0.955%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.65%E -0.886%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 00:00
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 23:55
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 18:14
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:39
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.87%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 21:14
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 14:09
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 21:24
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:09
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:25
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:44
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:39
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:39
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:14
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.28%E -2.63%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:09
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 14:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:14
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.11%E -5.95%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.70%E -3.38%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:43
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.52%E -4.93%K -11.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-07-17 21:44
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-18 00:10
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-17 22:59
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-07-18 00:09
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 48.03%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.97%12.5%2026-07-18 00:10