A Escola das Odds

Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-07-18 00:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 7–6 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 47.12%2.12odd justa
EV +1.31%
Vantagem +0.610%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%46.97%47.17%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.922.022.002.1552.08%49.54%50.00%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 52.88%1.89odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.598%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.03%52.83%54.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.801.8758.82%55.83%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.31%E +0.610%K +1.14%G +0.015%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 00:09
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 00:10
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 20:39
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 00:03
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:34
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.99%E -0.955%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.65%E -0.886%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 00:00
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 23:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 18:14
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 00:10
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.87%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 21:14
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:10
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 14:09
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 21:24
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:25
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:34
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:44
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:39
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:39
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:14
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:14
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.28%E -2.63%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:09
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 14:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:24
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 23:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 00:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.11%E -5.95%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 00:10
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.70%E -3.38%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:10
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:43
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 23:55
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.52%E -4.93%K -11.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 00:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-07-17 21:44
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-18 00:10
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-17 22:59
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-07-18 00:09
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 48.03%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.97%12.5%2026-07-18 00:10