La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Predicción 47.12%2.12momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.610%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%46.97%47.17%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.022.002.1552.08%49.54%50.00%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 52.88%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.598%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.03%52.83%54.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.801.8758.82%55.83%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.31%E +0.610%K +1.14%G +0.015% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| BetUS | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Everygame | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 00:03 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.99%E -0.955%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.65%E -0.886%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| ReBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-17 18:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 23:39 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.87%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| Bovada | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.28%E -2.63%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:09 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:14 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 14:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.11%E -5.95%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.70%E -3.38%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betano_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.69%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.52%E -4.93%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 22:59 |
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BetOpenly | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.03% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.97% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |