مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kansas City Royals v San Diego Padres

البداية: 2026-07-18 00:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kansas City Royals 7–6 San Diego Padres

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kansas City Royals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.12%2.12السعر العادل
EV +1.31%
الأفضلية +0.610%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.31%46.97%47.17%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.922.022.002.1552.08%49.54%50.00%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Diego Padres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.88%1.89السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.598%
Kelly -1.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.03%52.83%54.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.791.801.8758.82%55.83%55.56%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +1.31%E +0.610%K +1.14%G +0.015%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 00:09
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 00:10
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.370%E +0.174%K +0.327%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 20:39
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -0.101%E -0.048%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 00:03
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.04%E -0.497%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:34
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.99%E -0.955%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.65%E -0.886%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 00:00
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.93%E -1.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.12%E -0.598%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 23:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 18:14
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.40%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 00:10
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.87%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 21:14
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.34%E -2.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:10
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.23%E -1.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 14:09
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 21:24
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:25
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:34
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:44
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:39
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:39
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:14
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.81%E -2.38%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:14
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.28%E -2.63%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:09
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 14:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:24
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:09
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:14
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 14:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 23:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.88%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 00:10
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 00:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.11%E -5.95%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 00:10
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.70%E -3.38%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:10
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.35%E -2.99%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.41%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.17%E -3.64%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.64%E -3.90%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:43
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 21:44
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.82%E -2.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 23:55
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.11%E -4.16%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.05%E -4.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.52%E -4.93%K -11.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 00:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-07-17 21:44
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-18 00:10
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-17 22:59
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-07-18 00:09
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 48.03%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.97%12.5%2026-07-18 00:10