Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-05 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 50.86%1.97fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.83%50.81%51.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.871.881.9456.18%53.35%53.19%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 49.14%2.03fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.610%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.59%49.17%49.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.931.942.0154.35%51.68%51.55%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.86%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 49.14%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.01, with an expected value of -1.23%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.33%E -0.688%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.955%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:39
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.955%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.955%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:55
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.955%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:40
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.955%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 00:19
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.72%E -0.859%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 19:15
Caesars1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.37%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.23%E -0.610%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 20:43
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:39
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:39
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.68%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:15
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.68%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:40
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:19
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:44
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:39
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:14
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.65%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.65%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:35
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:42
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:40
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:43
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:44
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:35
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.40%E -2.90%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:45
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:23
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.20%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:44
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.95%E -4.39%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.11%E -4.33%K -9.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.45%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.11%E -4.33%K -9.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.47%E -5.32%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.58%E -5.21%K -11.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-04 23:15
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 01:45
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 50.96%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.04%9.6%2026-08-05 01:45