Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-05 23:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 50.96%1.96odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -0.855%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.05%51.05%52.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.46%53.19%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 49.04%2.04odd justa
EV +0.535%
Vantagem +0.261%
Kelly +0.509%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.77%48.95%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.941.942.0554.35%51.58%51.55%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.96%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 49.04%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.04. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.05, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.535%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +0.535%E +0.261%K +0.509%G +0.003%2.0%2026-08-05 02:15
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.446%E -0.220%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 02:40
Caesars1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.43%E -0.710%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 20:43
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.92%E -0.959%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 19:15
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.16%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 02:34
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 02:08
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:39
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:55
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.88%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:15
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.88%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:05
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:05
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:42
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:40
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:19
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:44
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.22%E -2.80%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:39
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:14
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:44
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:45
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 02:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:23
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 02:39
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:39
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.76%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.27%E -4.60%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.29%E -5.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.76%E -5.31%K -11.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-05 02:05
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-08-05 02:15
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 01:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 02:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-08-05 02:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%8.4%2026-08-05 02:40