Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-05 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 50.96%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.855%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.05%51.05%52.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.46%53.19%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 49.04%2.04momio equitativo
EV +0.535%
Ventaja +0.261%
Kelly +0.509%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.77%48.95%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.841.941.942.0554.35%51.58%51.55%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.96%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 49.04%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.04. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.05, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.535%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +0.535%E +0.261%K +0.509%G +0.003%2.0%2026-08-05 02:15
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.446%E -0.220%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 02:40
Caesars1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.43%E -0.710%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 20:43
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.92%E -0.959%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 19:15
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.16%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 02:34
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 02:08
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:39
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:55
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.88%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:15
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.88%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:05
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:05
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:42
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:40
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:19
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:44
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.22%E -2.80%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:39
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:14
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:44
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:45
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 02:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:23
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 02:39
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:39
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.76%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.27%E -4.60%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.29%E -5.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.76%E -5.31%K -11.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-05 02:05
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-08-05 02:15
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 01:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 02:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-08-05 02:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%8.4%2026-08-05 02:40