默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

开赛时间: 2026-08-05 23:41 UTC

最终结果: Kansas City Royals 2–1 Minnesota Twins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kansas City Royals (主队)

预测 52.62%1.90公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.572%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
51.32%52.60%52.63%53.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.811.801.8857.47%55.12%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Minnesota Twins (客队)

预测 47.38%2.11公平赔率
EV -0.501%
优势 -0.238%
Kelly -0.455%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
46.56%47.40%47.37%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.022.012.1051.28%49.54%49.63%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kansas City Royals (主队):52.62%;Minnesota Twins (客队):47.38%。 对于“Minnesota Twins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.11。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.10,期望值为-0.501%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.08%E -0.572%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.40%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-05 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.60%E -0.857%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 20:05
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.60%E -0.857%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -1.45%E -0.696%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-05 23:30
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.92%E -0.928%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 21:05
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.92%E -0.928%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.76%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:35
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.501%E -0.238%K -0.455%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.974%E -0.466%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.974%E -0.466%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.40%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.40%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 21:00
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.40%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:40
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:30
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 23:40
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 11:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 06:34
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 10:54
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:40
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:00
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:00
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.76%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:00
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 07:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 07:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 07:54
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 03:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 21:15
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:40
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.34%E -3.56%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 21:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-05 23:05
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-05 23:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-05 22:50
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-08-05 23:40
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-08-05 23:40
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-08-05 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%3.3%2026-08-05 23:35