Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-05 23:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 50.96%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.855%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.05%51.05%52.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.46%53.19%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.04%2.04cote équitable
EV +0.535%
Avantage +0.261%
Kelly +0.509%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.77%48.95%48.95%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.841.941.942.0554.35%51.58%51.55%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kansas City Royals (Local) : 50.96% ; Minnesota Twins (Visiteur) : 49.04%. Pour Minnesota Twins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.04. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.05, pour une espérance positive de +0.535%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV +0.535%E +0.261%K +0.509%G +0.003%2.0%2026-08-05 02:15
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.446%E -0.220%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 02:40
Caesars1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.43%E -0.710%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 20:43
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.92%E -0.959%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 19:15
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.16%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 02:34
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -2.41%E -1.21%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 02:08
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:39
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:40
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.855%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 18:55
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.88%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:15
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.88%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:05
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:05
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:42
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:40
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:44
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:19
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:44
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:45
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.22%E -2.80%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.86%E -2.51%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:39
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:14
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:45
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:44
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:44
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:45
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:14
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 02:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:14
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:23
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:44
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 02:39
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:39
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.76%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:45
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.27%E -4.60%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.29%E -5.22%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.76%E -5.31%K -11.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 20:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-05 02:05
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-08-05 02:15
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-08-05 02:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 01:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-05 02:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-08-05 02:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%8.4%2026-08-05 02:40