Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 41.34%2.42fair odd
EV +0.444%
Edge +0.183%
Kelly +0.311%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.25%41.33%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.342.332.4345.05%42.83%42.92%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 58.66%1.70fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.859%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%58.75%58.67%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.76%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 41.34%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 58.66%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.444%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.444%E +0.183%K +0.311%G +0.001% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 20:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.444%E +0.183%K +0.311%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.444%E +0.183%K +0.311%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-08 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.79%E -2.31%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.04%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.04%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 20:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.48%E -5.44%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.48%E -5.44%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.79%E -2.31%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.10%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.10%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 20:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 20:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 21:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 20:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 20:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.76%E -2.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.17%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.17%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 20:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |