The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-08 23:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 39.82%2.51fair odd
EV -0.446%
Edge -0.178%
Kelly -0.297%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.17%39.87%39.85%41.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.402.5043.48%41.80%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 60.18%1.66fair odd
EV +0.498%
Edge +0.298%
Kelly +0.743%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.77%60.13%60.15%60.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.581.6765.36%63.01%63.29%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 39.82%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 60.18%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.67, producing a positive expected value of +0.498%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +0.498%E +0.298%K +0.743%G +0.004%1.9%2026-08-08 00:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -2.44%E -0.995%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -0.706%E -0.428%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-08 00:00
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.446%E -0.178%K -0.297%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 00:55
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.446%E -0.178%K -0.297%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.844%E -0.339%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.844%E -0.339%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:55
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.04%E -0.829%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-08 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:30
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.83%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -8.01%E -3.47%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.23%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.32%E -2.71%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:15
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.03%E -1.67%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.92%E -3.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:24
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.92%E -3.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.92%E -3.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.92%E -3.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.92%E -3.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 19:18
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.22%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.02%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 19:24
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 00:50
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.61%E -3.28%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-08-07 22:50
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-08-07 23:30
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%5.5%2026-08-08 01:35
ProphetX◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%7.1%2026-08-08 01:20
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%10.0%2026-08-07 19:25
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.12%Caesars 2.50 (40.0%) / 1xBet 1.67 (60.0%)Show all 2 combinations
Kansas City Royals (Local)Chicago Cubs (Visit)Margin
Caesars🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
GTbets🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%