Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-08 23:10 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 39.78%2.51odd justa
EV -0.553%
Vantagem -0.221%
Kelly -0.368%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%39.79%39.80%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.402.402.5043.48%41.71%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 60.22%1.66odd justa
EV +0.569%
Vantagem +0.341%
Kelly +0.850%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%60.21%60.20%61.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.581.581.6765.36%63.14%63.29%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Royals (Local): 39.78%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 60.22%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.66. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.67, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.569%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +0.569%E +0.341%K +0.850%G +0.005%1.9%2026-08-08 00:30
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.553%E -0.221%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.44%E -1.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.553%E -0.221%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.44%E -1.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 02:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.44%E -1.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 02:30
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.553%E -0.221%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.950%E -0.382%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.950%E -0.382%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:55
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.14%E -0.871%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-08 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:30
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.93%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -8.11%E -3.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.34%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.34%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:30
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:05
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:30
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 02:00
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:15
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 02:05
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 02:11
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 02:10
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:04
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.94%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 02:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 19:18
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 02:04
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:45
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 02:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 00:50
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 02:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 02:10
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-08-07 23:30
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-08-08 02:20
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%2.6%2026-08-08 02:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%10.0%2026-08-08 02:05
Arbitragem (3 combinações) +0.12%Caesars 2.50 (40.0%) / 1xBet 1.67 (60.0%)Mostrar as 3 combinações
Kansas City Royals (Local)Chicago Cubs (Visitante)Margem
Caesars🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
GTbets🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%