Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-08 23:10 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 39.78%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.553%
Avantage -0.221%
Kelly -0.368%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%39.79%39.80%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.402.402.5043.48%41.71%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.22%1.66cote équitable
EV +0.569%
Avantage +0.341%
Kelly +0.850%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.21%60.20%61.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.581.581.6765.36%63.14%63.29%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kansas City Royals (Local) : 39.78% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 60.22%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.66. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.67, pour une espérance positive de +0.569%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +0.569%E +0.341%K +0.850%G +0.005%1.9%2026-08-08 00:30
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.553%E -0.221%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.44%E -1.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.553%E -0.221%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.44%E -1.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 02:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.44%E -1.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 02:30
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.553%E -0.221%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.950%E -0.382%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.950%E -0.382%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:55
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.14%E -0.871%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-08 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:30
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.93%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -8.11%E -3.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -3.04%E -1.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.34%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.34%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:30
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 02:05
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:30
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 02:00
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.67%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 23:15
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 02:05
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 02:11
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 02:10
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:04
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -2.94%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 02:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 19:18
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 02:04
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:45
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 02:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 00:50
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 02:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 02:10
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-08-07 23:30
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-08-08 02:20
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%2.6%2026-08-08 02:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%10.0%2026-08-08 02:05
Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +0.12%Caesars 2.50 (40.0%) / 1xBet 1.67 (60.0%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Kansas City Royals (Local)Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)Marge
Caesars🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%
GTbets🎯 2.50 (40.0%)1xBet🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%