StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 23:10 UTC

Endstand: Kansas City Royals 6–3 Chicago Cubs

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals (Heim)

Prognose 41.34%2.42faire Quote
EV +0.444%
Vorteil +0.183%
Kelly +0.311%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.55%41.25%41.33%42.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.222.342.332.4345.05%42.83%42.92%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.66%1.70faire Quote
EV -1.44%
Vorteil -0.859%
Kelly -2.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.69%58.75%58.67%60.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.76%61.73%59.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kansas City Royals (Heim): 41.34%; Chicago Cubs (Auswärts): 58.66%. Für Kansas City Royals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.42. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.43 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.444%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.444%E +0.183%K +0.311%G +0.001%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-08 20:39
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.444%E +0.183%K +0.311%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 21:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +0.444%E +0.183%K +0.311%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 21:19
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 21:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 20:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 20:54
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 22:49
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:20
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:20
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:20
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.796%E -0.332%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:19
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-08 22:44
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.79%E -2.31%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 22:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 22:49
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 20:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.04%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.04%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 23:00
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 22:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 20:50
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 22:34
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 21:14
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.48%E -5.44%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.48%E -5.44%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.28%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 22:35
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.44%E -0.859%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.79%E -2.31%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 21:14
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 22:59
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.69%E -1.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:15
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.10%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.10%E -1.77%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 21:15
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 20:44
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:14
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:14
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 20:19
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 20:59
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.96%E -3.06%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 20:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 23:00
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.93%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.24%E -6.69%K -19.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.76%E -2.52%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 20:45
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.17%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:39
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.17%E -2.72%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.38%E -2.68%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:39
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.20%E -1.94%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.55%E -3.45%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 23:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 21:00
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.72%E -4.23%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 22:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-08-08 23:04
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-08 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-08 23:05
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-08-08 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-08 23:00
ProphetX◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-08 23:00
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-08 23:05
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-08 20:20
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-08-08 23:05