Language:English
Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV +4.01%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.78%36.52%36.25%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.8541.67%38.58%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 63.51%1.57fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.86%63.48%63.75%67.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.70%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 36.49%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 63.51%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV +4.01%E +1.41%K +2.17%G +0.087% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -11.73%E -8.44%K -30.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.46%E +0.524%K +0.818%G +0.012% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.734%E -0.270%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 23:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.92%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 21:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.28%E -4.99%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-13 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 35.87% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 64.13% | -2.5% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-13 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47% | 3.3% | 2026-05-12 23:55 |