La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-05-13 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–10 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 36.49%2.74momio equitativo
EV +4.01%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.087%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.78%36.52%36.25%38.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.602.8541.67%38.58%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 63.51%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.86%63.48%63.75%67.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.70%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV +4.01%E +1.41%K +2.17%G +0.087%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -11.73%E -8.44%K -30.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 00:10
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.46%E +0.524%K +0.818%G +0.012%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 23:30
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.734%E -0.270%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 00:05
LowVig.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 21:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:01
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:10
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 00:05
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 00:05
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
SportsBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.92%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 21:25
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 23:00
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.28%E -4.99%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 21:20
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 21:45
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 23:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 00:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 23:05
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:35
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 00:10
888sport2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
888sport (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 23:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 00:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 35.87%1.60I 62.50%NM 64.13%-2.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-13 00:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-05-13 00:05
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%3.3%2026-05-12 23:55