L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 2–10 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 36.49%2.74cote équitable
EV +4.01%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +2.17%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.78%36.52%36.25%38.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.8541.67%38.58%38.46%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.51%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.86%63.48%63.75%67.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.70%66.67%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV +4.01%E +1.41%K +2.17%G +0.087%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -11.73%E -8.44%K -30.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 00:10
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.46%E +0.524%K +0.818%G +0.012%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 23:30
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.734%E -0.270%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 00:05
LowVig.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 21:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:01
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:10
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 00:05
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 00:05
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
SportsBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.92%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 21:25
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 23:00
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.28%E -4.99%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 21:20
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 21:45
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 23:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 00:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 23:05
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:35
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 00:10
888sport2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
888sport (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 23:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 00:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 35.87%1.60I 62.50%NM 64.13%-2.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-13 00:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-05-13 00:05
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%3.3%2026-05-12 23:55