A Escola das Odds

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-05-13 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 2–10 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 36.49%2.74odd justa
EV +4.01%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescimento +0.087%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.78%36.52%36.25%38.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.602.8541.67%38.58%38.46%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 63.51%1.57odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.86%63.48%63.75%67.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.70%66.67%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV +4.01%E +1.41%K +2.17%G +0.087%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -11.73%E -8.44%K -30.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 00:10
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.46%E +0.524%K +0.818%G +0.012%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 23:30
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.734%E -0.270%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 00:05
LowVig.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 21:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:01
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:10
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 00:05
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 00:05
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
SportsBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.92%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 21:25
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 23:00
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.28%E -4.99%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 21:20
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 21:45
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 23:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 00:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 23:05
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:35
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 00:10
888sport2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
888sport (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 23:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 00:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 00:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 35.87%1.60I 62.50%NM 64.13%-2.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-13 00:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-05-13 00:05
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%3.3%2026-05-12 23:55