مدرسة الاحتمالات

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

البداية: 2026-05-13 00:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Houston Astros 2–10 Seattle Mariners

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Houston Astros (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.49%2.74السعر العادل
EV +4.01%
الأفضلية +1.41%
Kelly +2.17%
النمو +0.087%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.78%36.52%36.25%38.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.592.602.8541.67%38.58%38.46%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Seattle Mariners (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.51%1.57السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -2.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.86%63.48%63.75%67.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.391.501.501.5571.94%66.70%66.67%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV +4.01%E +1.41%K +2.17%G +0.087%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -11.73%E -8.44%K -30.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 00:10
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV +1.46%E +0.524%K +0.818%G +0.012%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 23:30
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.734%E -0.270%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 00:05
LowVig.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
BetOnline.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -1.10%E -0.405%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 00:10
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 21:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:01
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.46%E -0.542%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:10
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-13 00:05
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-13 00:05
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.19%E -0.819%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
SportsBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.92%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 21:25
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 23:00
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.28%E -4.99%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 21:20
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.92%E -5.46%K -17.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.29%E -1.24%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 00:09
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 00:09
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.38%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.55%E -5.94%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 21:45
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 23:35
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 00:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 00:09
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.11%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 23:05
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.20%E -1.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:35
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:35
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 00:10
888sport2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
888sport (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.94%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 23:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.84%E -1.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 22:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 00:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.47%E -2.28%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.11%E -2.72%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 00:10
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.76%E -3.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.59%E -4.32%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.16%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 00:10
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -5.38%E -3.61%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -11.32%E -4.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.01%E -4.06%K -12.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -12.41%E -5.17%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.65%E -4.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 00:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 35.87%1.60I 62.50%NM 64.13%-2.5%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-05-13 00:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-12 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-05-13 00:10
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-05-13 00:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-05-13 00:05
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%3.3%2026-05-12 23:55