Language:English
Houston Astros v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 50.17%1.99fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.33%50.13%51.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.891.9755.56%53.05%52.91%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.03%49.67%49.87%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.932.0454.05%51.84%51.81%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 50.17%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 49.83%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +1.66%E +0.815%K +1.60%G +0.027% | 1.9% | 2026-07-22 03:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.666%E +0.330%K +0.653%G +0.004% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.70%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -0.829%E -0.417%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.33%E -0.670%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.18%E -1.65%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.17%E -0.596%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-23 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 23:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-22 23:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 23:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-22 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.81%E -3.08%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 23:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-23 00:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 23:57 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-07-23 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-22 23:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 23:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74% | 1.1% | 2026-07-23 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-23 00:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-07-23 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-07-23 00:10 |
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