The School of Odds

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

2026-07-23 00:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.34%52.22%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.831.8757%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 47.75%2.09fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.66%47.78%48.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.0753%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.29%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 19:35
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.29%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-22 00:35
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.29%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.29%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 19:35
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.16%E -0.559%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-21 19:40
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.86%E -2.10%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 00:55
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:35
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:40
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:34
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 20:05
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:15
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:55
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 18:35
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 19:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 01:30
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 00:55
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 00:55
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.98%E -2.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 19:35
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.07%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 20:34
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 20:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 19:15
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 18:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:35
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 23:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:34
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.47%E -3.62%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:55
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.04%E -4.57%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.32%E -4.33%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.09%E -5.22%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-07-21 23:05
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 18:25
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-22 01:30
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%4.5%2026-07-22 01:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%9.2%2026-07-22 01:30