مدرسة الاحتمالات

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-07-23 00:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Houston Astros 5–2 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Houston Astros (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.17%1.99السعر العادل
EV -1.17%
الأفضلية -0.596%
Kelly -1.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.47%50.33%50.13%51.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.881.891.9755.56%53.05%52.91%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.83%2.01السعر العادل
EV +1.66%
الأفضلية +0.815%
Kelly +1.60%
النمو +0.027%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.03%49.67%49.87%50.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.851.931.932.0454.05%51.84%51.81%49.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +1.66%E +0.815%K +1.60%G +0.027%1.9%2026-07-22 03:05
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.666%E +0.330%K +0.653%G +0.004%2.4%2026-07-22 21:49
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.70%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -0.829%E -0.417%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 00:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.33%E -0.670%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:50
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.18%E -1.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.17%E -0.596%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-23 00:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:10
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 23:59
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 23:49
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:29
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:29
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:09
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 18:50
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:29
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.81%E -3.08%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 23:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 23:24
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 00:07
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:59
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:57
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-23 00:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:29
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-23 00:04
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-23 00:10