A Escola das Odds

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-07-23 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 5–2 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 50.17%1.99odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.596%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%50.33%50.13%51.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.891.9755.56%53.05%52.91%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 49.83%2.01odd justa
EV +1.66%
Vantagem +0.815%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.03%49.67%49.87%50.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.932.0454.05%51.84%51.81%49.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +1.66%E +0.815%K +1.60%G +0.027%1.9%2026-07-22 03:05
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.666%E +0.330%K +0.653%G +0.004%2.4%2026-07-22 21:49
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.70%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -0.829%E -0.417%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 00:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.33%E -0.670%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:50
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.18%E -1.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.17%E -0.596%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-23 00:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:10
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 23:59
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 23:49
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:29
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:29
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:09
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 18:50
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:29
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.81%E -3.08%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 23:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 23:24
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 00:07
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:59
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:57
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-23 00:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:29
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-23 00:04
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-23 00:10