L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-23 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 5–2 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 50.17%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.596%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%50.33%50.13%51.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.891.9755.56%53.05%52.91%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.83%2.01cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.815%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.03%49.67%49.87%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.931.932.0454.05%51.84%51.81%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +1.66%E +0.815%K +1.60%G +0.027%1.9%2026-07-22 03:05
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.666%E +0.330%K +0.653%G +0.004%2.4%2026-07-22 21:49
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.70%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -0.829%E -0.417%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 00:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.33%E -0.670%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:50
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.18%E -1.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.17%E -0.596%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-23 00:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:10
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 23:59
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 23:49
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:29
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:29
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:09
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 18:50
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:29
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.81%E -3.08%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 23:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 23:24
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 00:07
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:59
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:57
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-23 00:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:29
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-23 00:04
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-23 00:10