StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-23 00:11 UTC

Endstand: Houston Astros 5–2 Miami Marlins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Houston Astros (Heim)

Prognose 50.17%1.99faire Quote
EV -1.17%
Vorteil -0.596%
Kelly -1.21%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.97

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.47%50.33%50.13%51.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.801.881.891.9755.56%53.05%52.91%50.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 49.83%2.01faire Quote
EV +1.66%
Vorteil +0.815%
Kelly +1.60%
Wachstum +0.027%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.04

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.03%49.67%49.87%50.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.851.931.932.0454.05%51.84%51.81%49.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Houston Astros (Heim): 50.17%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 49.83%. Für Miami Marlins (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.01. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.04 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.66%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV +1.66%E +0.815%K +1.60%G +0.027%1.9%2026-07-22 03:05
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV +0.666%E +0.330%K +0.653%G +0.004%2.4%2026-07-22 21:49
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.70%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -0.829%E -0.417%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.33%E -0.670%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:50
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.18%E -1.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.83%E -0.927%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.68%E -1.38%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.17%E -0.596%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-23 00:00
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-23 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-22 23:59
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 23:49
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:09
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 23:29
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 00:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.31%E -2.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.81%E -3.08%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 23:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 23:24
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 00:07
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:59
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 23:57
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-23 00:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-22 23:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:34
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-22 23:29
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-23 00:10
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-23 00:04
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-23 00:10