The School of Odds

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-18 00:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 50.17%1.99fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%50.16%50.26%52.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.901.9755%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%49.84%49.74%50.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.841.921.911.9854%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.17%E -0.594%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 00:20
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.17%E -0.594%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 00:20
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.17%E -0.594%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 00:40
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.17%E -1.11%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.83%E -0.929%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 02:30
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.18%E -1.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.83%E -0.929%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-17 02:25
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 01:00
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 00:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.33%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 02:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 02:29
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:05
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:34
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:34
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:35
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 02:10
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 02:25
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 00:55
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 02:15
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 00:55
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 23:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:25
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 00:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.68%E -2.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 00:50
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 02:20
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:10
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 01:10
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 02:34
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:14
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:14
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:24
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.18%E -2.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:10
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:10
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:10
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:10
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:10
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 01:10
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 01:10
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 00:59
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 00:55
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 00:55
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 00:54
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 00:54
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 00:55
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.32%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.69%E -4.18%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 00:55
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -8.31%E -4.52%K -9.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 00:55
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -8.69%E -4.78%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -1.33%E -0.673%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-17 00:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-17 01:20
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-17 02:30
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.97%1.7%2026-07-17 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-17 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-17 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-17 01:55
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%2.6%2026-07-17 02:05
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%5.6%2026-07-17 02:30