Language:English
Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 52.15%1.92fair odd
EV -0.920%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.18%52.22%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.71%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 47.85%2.09fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.883%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.82%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.981.982.0753.76%50.39%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 52.15%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 47.85%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -0.920%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.920%E -0.484%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-17 22:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 20:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 00:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 00:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.99%E -5.91%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.74%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38% | 0.0% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |