La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-07-18 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 2–3 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 52.15%1.92quota equa
EV -0.920%
Vantaggio -0.484%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%52.18%52.22%53.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.71%54.64%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.85%2.09quota equa
EV -0.945%
Vantaggio -0.456%
Kelly -0.883%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.05%47.82%47.78%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.981.982.0753.76%50.39%50.51%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.920%E -0.484%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:10
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 22:29
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 23:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 23:34
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 00:09
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 00:10
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 00:10
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 22:14
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:59
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:10
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 23:34
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:43
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 20:44
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:39
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 00:09
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 21:14
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:14
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:53
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:15
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:49
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 23:34
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:44
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 00:08
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 20:49
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:35
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 00:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 17:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:05
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:04
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:10
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.99%E -5.91%K -12.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.74%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38%0.0%2026-07-18 00:09
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-18 00:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-17 22:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-07-18 00:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%2.4%2026-07-18 00:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-07-18 00:10