La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Houston Astros (Local)
Predicción 52.15%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.920%
Ventaja -0.484%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.18%52.22%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.71%54.64%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 47.85%2.09momio equitativo
EV -0.945%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.883%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.82%47.78%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.981.982.0753.76%50.39%50.51%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.920%E -0.484%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:15 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-17 22:43 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 20:44 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:34 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:44 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-18 00:08 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:09 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 17:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 00:05 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 00:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.99%E -5.91%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.74%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38% | 0.0% | 2026-07-18 00:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 22:39 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Novig | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 00:10 |