مدرسة الاحتمالات

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-07-18 00:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Houston Astros 2–3 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Houston Astros (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.15%1.92السعر العادل
EV -0.920%
الأفضلية -0.484%
Kelly -1.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%52.18%52.22%53.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.71%54.64%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.85%2.09السعر العادل
EV -0.945%
الأفضلية -0.456%
Kelly -0.883%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.05%47.82%47.78%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.861.981.982.0753.76%50.39%50.51%48.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.920%E -0.484%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:10
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 22:29
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 23:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 23:34
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 00:09
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 00:10
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 00:10
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 22:14
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:59
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:10
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 23:34
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:43
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 20:44
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:39
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 00:09
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 21:14
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:14
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:53
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:15
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:49
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 23:34
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:44
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 00:08
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 20:49
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:35
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 00:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 17:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:05
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:04
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:10
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.99%E -5.91%K -12.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.74%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38%0.0%2026-07-18 00:09
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-18 00:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-17 22:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-07-18 00:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%2.4%2026-07-18 00:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-07-18 00:10