L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 00:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 2–3 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 52.15%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.920%
Avantage -0.484%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.18%52.22%53.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.71%54.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.85%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.945%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.883%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%47.82%47.78%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.981.982.0753.76%50.39%50.51%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.920%E -0.484%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:10
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.44%E -0.763%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 22:29
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-17 23:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.96%E -1.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 23:34
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 00:09
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.945%E -0.456%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 00:10
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 00:10
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:15
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 22:14
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.53%E -1.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:59
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 00:10
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 23:34
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.42%E -0.691%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.86%E -1.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:43
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 20:44
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:39
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 00:09
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 21:14
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:14
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:53
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:15
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 21:49
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 23:34
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.57%E -2.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:44
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.34%E -1.65%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 00:08
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.09%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 20:49
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:35
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.61%E -3.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 00:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 00:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 17:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.29%E -2.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 00:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:05
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:04
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:10
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.99%E -5.91%K -12.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.74%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.90%E -0.928%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38%0.0%2026-07-18 00:09
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-18 00:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-17 22:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-07-18 00:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%2.4%2026-07-18 00:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-07-18 00:10