StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 18:11 UTC

Slutresultat: Cleveland Guardians 11–1 Kansas City Royals

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians (Hemma)

Prognos 62.29%1.61rättvist odds
EV -0.344%
Fördel -0.215%
Kelly -0.573%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.30%62.40%62.24%63.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.481.551.551.6067.57%64.69%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Borta)

Prognos 37.71%2.65rättvist odds
EV +1.83%
Fördel +0.678%
Kelly +1.08%
Tillväxt +0.020%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.17%37.60%37.76%39.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.73%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cleveland Guardians (Hemma): 62.29%; Kansas City Royals (Borta): 37.71%. För Kansas City Royals (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.65. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.83%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +1.83%E +0.678%K +1.08%G +0.020%2.4%2026-08-30 16:44
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.08%E +0.401%K +0.640%G +0.007%3.1%2026-08-30 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-30 17:59
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.19%E -0.453%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 14:10
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.56%E -0.599%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-30 18:10
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -0.344%E -0.215%K -0.573%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-30 18:00
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 18:00
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:42
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:42
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:42
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-30 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 18:10
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-08-30 18:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-30 13:40
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-08-30 18:10