StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

2026-08-30 17:41 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cleveland Guardians (Heim)

Prognose 62.63%1.60faire Quote
EV +0.209%
Vorteil +0.131%
Kelly +0.348%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.25%62.70%62.65%64.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.451.521.511.6068.97%65.82%66.23%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Auswärts)

Prognose 37.37%2.68faire Quote
EV +1.64%
Vorteil +0.605%
Kelly +0.956%
Wachstum +0.016%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.02%37.30%37.35%38.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.562.552.7241.67%39.06%39.22%36.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Cleveland Guardians (Heim): 62.63%; Kansas City Royals (Auswärts): 37.37%. Für Kansas City Royals (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.68. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.72 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.64%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +1.64%E +0.605%K +0.956%G +0.016%3.9%2026-08-29 21:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +0.898%E +0.332%K +0.528%G +0.005%2.4%2026-08-29 21:23
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -9.19%E -6.33%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV +0.524%E +0.195%K +0.310%G +0.002%6.1%2026-08-29 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -1.67%E -1.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.971%E -0.366%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-29 21:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.971%E -0.366%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 01:00
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -2.09%E -0.798%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.09%E -0.798%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 01:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.09%E -0.798%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -2.09%E -0.798%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 20:25
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 21:10
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 00:14
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.59%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 02:15
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.67%E -1.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.96%E -1.54%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.96%E -1.54%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 23:20
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -4.33%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 22:45
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 02:15
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.71%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 01:05
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV +0.209%E +0.131%K +0.348%G +0.001%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -5.46%E -2.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -5.83%E -2.31%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:35
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.55%E -2.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.83%E -2.31%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 02:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 23:20
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 22:55
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:45
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 23:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 23:20
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.43%E -3.59%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:19
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:18
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.05%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 00:45
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.19%E -6.33%K -20.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.58%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.68%E -4.48%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 23:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-30 01:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-29 23:35
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-30 01:20
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-08-30 02:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 61.95%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.05%3.5%2026-08-29 22:20
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%8.8%2026-08-30 02:15
Arbitrage (3 Kombinationen) +0.74%1xBet 1.60 (63.0%) / FanDuel 2.72 (37.0%)Alle 3 Kombinationen anzeigen
Cleveland Guardians (Heim)Kansas City Royals (Auswärts)Marge
1xBet🎯 1.60 (63.0%)FanDuel🎯 2.72 (37.0%)+0.741%
1xBet🎯 1.60 (62.8%)Caesars🎯 2.70 (37.2%)+0.465%
1xBet🎯 1.60 (62.7%)SportsBet🎯 2.69 (37.3%)+0.326%