Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-08-30 18:11 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 11–1 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 62.29%1.61quota equa
EV -0.344%
Vantaggio -0.215%
Kelly -0.573%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.30%62.40%62.24%63.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.551.551.6067.57%64.69%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.71%2.65quota equa
EV +1.83%
Vantaggio +0.678%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.17%37.60%37.76%39.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.73%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cleveland Guardians (Casa): 62.29%; Kansas City Royals (Trasferta): 37.71%. Per Kansas City Royals (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.65. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.83%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +1.83%E +0.678%K +1.08%G +0.020%2.4%2026-08-30 16:44
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.08%E +0.401%K +0.640%G +0.007%3.1%2026-08-30 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-30 17:59
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.19%E -0.453%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 14:10
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.56%E -0.599%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-30 18:10
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:00
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -0.344%E -0.215%K -0.573%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-30 18:00
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 18:00
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:09
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:09
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:42
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:42
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:42
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 17:42
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-30 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-30 18:10
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-08-30 18:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-30 13:40
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-08-30 18:10