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Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 62.29%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.344%
Ventaja -0.215%
Kelly -0.573%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.30%62.40%62.24%63.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.551.6067.57%64.69%64.52%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kansas City Royals (Visitante)
Predicción 37.71%2.65momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.678%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.17%37.60%37.76%39.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.73%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 62.29%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 37.71%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.65. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.83%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +1.83%E +0.678%K +1.08%G +0.020% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.08%E +0.401%K +0.640%G +0.007% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.19%E -0.453%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.56%E -0.599%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -0.344%E -0.215%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 2.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |