Langue:Français
Cleveland Guardians v Kansas City Royals
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prévision 62.29%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.344%
Avantage -0.215%
Kelly -0.573%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.30%62.40%62.24%63.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.551.6067.57%64.69%64.52%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.71%2.65cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.678%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.17%37.60%37.76%39.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.73%40.00%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 62.29% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 37.71%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.65. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.70, soit une espérance positive de +1.83%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +1.83%E +0.678%K +1.08%G +0.020% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.08%E +0.401%K +0.640%G +0.007% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-30 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.19%E -0.453%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -1.56%E -0.599%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.32%E -0.895%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -0.344%E -0.215%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.84%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.21%E -1.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.46%E -2.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -8.35%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.59%E -1.01%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 17:42 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 2.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |