Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV -0.140%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.123%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.92%46.75%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.982.022.1455.56%50.45%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +3.16%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%53.08%53.25%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.801.9358.82%54.88%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 46.66%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 53.34%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -15.07%E -8.28%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -15.54%E -8.59%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.261%E -0.139%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 20:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 05:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 18:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 18:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.47%E -4.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 20:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 49.51% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 50.49% | 94.2% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |