La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Cleveland Guardians (Casa)
Previsione 46.66%2.14quota equa
EV -0.140%
Vantaggio -0.066%
Kelly -0.123%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.31%46.92%46.75%51.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.982.022.1455.56%50.45%49.50%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)
Previsione 53.34%1.87quota equa
EV +2.94%
Vantaggio +1.52%
Kelly +3.16%
Crescita +0.093%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.93%53.08%53.25%54.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.821.801.9358.82%54.88%55.56%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -15.07%E -8.28%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -15.54%E -8.59%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.261%E -0.139%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 20:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 20:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetUS | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:19 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 05:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 18:16 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 18:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.47%E -4.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (10)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetOpenly | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Novig | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| ProphetX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 20:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.04I 96.15%NM 49.51% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 50.49% | 94.2% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |