Die Schule der Quoten

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-05 20:41 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Heim)

Prognose 46.66%2.14faire Quote
EV -0.140%
Vorteil -0.066%
Kelly -0.123%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.31%46.92%46.75%51.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.801.982.022.1455.56%50.45%49.50%46.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Chicago Cubs (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.34%1.87faire Quote
EV +2.94%
Vorteil +1.52%
Kelly +3.16%
Wachstum +0.093%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.93%53.08%53.25%54.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.821.801.9358.82%54.88%55.56%51.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093%5.9%2026-04-05 20:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093%5.9%2026-04-05 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093%5.9%2026-04-05 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093%5.9%2026-04-05 20:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093%5.9%2026-04-05 20:39
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039%7.0%2026-04-05 20:40
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020%5.3%2026-04-05 20:39
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020%7.3%2026-04-05 20:39
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020%7.3%2026-04-05 20:40
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007%7.6%2026-04-05 20:39
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007%7.6%2026-04-05 20:40
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -15.07%E -8.28%K -18.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001%8.1%2026-04-05 20:39
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -15.54%E -8.59%K -19.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001%8.4%2026-04-05 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.261%E -0.139%K -0.300%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 20:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 20:37
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 20:35
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 20:39
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 20:40
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 18:20
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 19:15
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 19:15
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 20:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 20:34
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 20:34
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 20:15
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 20:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 20:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 05:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 18:05
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 20:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 20:29
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 18:16
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 12:44
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 17:14
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:44
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:15
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.47%E -4.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 20:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-04-05 20:40
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-04-05 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-04-05 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-04-05 20:40
Novig2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-04-05 20:39
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-04-05 20:39
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-04-05 20:39
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-04-05 20:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%9.9%2026-04-05 20:35
Polymarket1.04I 96.15%NM 49.51%1.02I 98.04%NM 50.49%94.2%2026-04-05 20:40