La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 46.66%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.140%
Ventaja -0.066%
Kelly -0.123%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%46.92%46.75%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.982.022.1455.56%50.45%49.50%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 53.34%1.87momio equitativo
EV +2.94%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +3.16%
Crecimiento +0.093%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%53.08%53.25%54.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.801.9358.82%54.88%55.56%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +2.94%E +1.52%K +3.16%G +0.093% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +1.87%E +0.981%K +2.06%G +0.039% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV +1.34%E +0.705%K +1.49%G +0.020% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV +0.806%E +0.427%K +0.906%G +0.007% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -15.07%E -8.28%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -15.54%E -8.59%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV +0.273%E +0.145%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.261%E -0.139%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 20:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 20:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetUS | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.140%E -0.066%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.607%E -0.285%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 20:19 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 05:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 18:16 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 18:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:45 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 12:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.47%E -4.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| BetOpenly | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Novig | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| ProphetX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 20:39 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 20:35 |
| Polymarket | 1.04I 96.15%NM 49.51% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 50.49% | 94.2% | 2026-04-05 20:40 |