Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 58.53%1.71fair odd
EV -0.507%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.724%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.84%58.47%58.56%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.631.7064.10%60.98%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 41.47%2.41fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%41.53%41.44%43.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.282.302.3747.17%43.82%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 58.53%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 41.47%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -0.507%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.12%E -0.898%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 14:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-14 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 13:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 11:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 12:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.27%E -2.77%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -12.07%E -5.70%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.70%E -5.58%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16% | -0.0% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |