La scuola delle quote

Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-05-14 16:41 UTC

Finale: Cincinnati Reds 15–1 Washington Nationals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 58.53%1.71quota equa
EV -0.507%
Vantaggio -0.298%
Kelly -0.724%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.84%58.47%58.56%59.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.641.631.7064.10%60.98%61.35%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.47%2.41quota equa
EV -1.71%
Vantaggio -0.719%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.45%41.53%41.44%43.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.282.302.3747.17%43.82%43.48%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:40
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 16:39
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.12%E -0.898%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 15:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 14:15
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 14:40
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 16:34
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 13:20
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 15:15
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:40
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:39
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:40
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 11:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:39
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 15:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 09:39
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.27%E -2.77%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:05
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 16:40
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:05
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 15:05
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 09:45
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:40
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 22:55
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 15:05
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -12.07%E -5.70%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 16:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 11:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:15
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:25
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.70%E -5.58%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-05-14 16:39
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-14 16:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-14 16:40
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-14 16:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-05-14 16:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-14 16:40