مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-05-14 16:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 15–1 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.53%1.71السعر العادل
EV -0.507%
الأفضلية -0.298%
Kelly -0.724%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.84%58.47%58.56%59.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.641.631.7064.10%60.98%61.35%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.47%2.41السعر العادل
EV -1.71%
الأفضلية -0.719%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.45%41.53%41.44%43.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.282.302.3747.17%43.82%43.48%42.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:40
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 16:39
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.12%E -0.898%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 15:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 14:15
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 14:40
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 16:34
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 13:20
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 15:15
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:40
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:39
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:40
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 11:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:39
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 15:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 09:39
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.27%E -2.77%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:05
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 16:40
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:05
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 15:05
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 09:45
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:40
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 22:55
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 15:05
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -12.07%E -5.70%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 16:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 11:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:15
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:25
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.70%E -5.58%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-05-14 16:39
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-14 16:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-14 16:40
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-14 16:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-05-14 16:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-14 16:40