L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 16:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 15–1 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 58.53%1.71cote équitable
EV -0.507%
Avantage -0.298%
Kelly -0.724%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.84%58.47%58.56%59.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.631.7064.10%60.98%61.35%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.47%2.41cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.719%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.45%41.53%41.44%43.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.282.302.3747.17%43.82%43.48%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-14 16:40
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 16:39
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.12%E -0.898%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 15:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 14:15
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 14:40
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-14 16:34
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 16:39
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 13:20
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 15:15
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:40
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:39
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:40
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 16:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 11:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:39
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 15:20
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 09:39
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.27%E -2.77%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 18:15
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:05
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:39
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 16:40
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:05
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 15:05
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 09:45
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:40
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 22:55
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 15:05
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 09:45
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -12.07%E -5.70%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 16:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 11:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:15
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 16:25
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.70%E -5.58%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84%2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16%-0.0%2026-05-14 16:39
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-14 16:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-14 16:35
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-14 16:40
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-14 16:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-05-14 16:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-14 16:40