La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 58.53%1.71momio equitativo
EV -0.507%
Ventaja -0.298%
Kelly -0.724%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.84%58.47%58.56%59.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.631.7064.10%60.98%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 41.47%2.41momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.719%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.45%41.53%41.44%43.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.282.302.3747.17%43.82%43.48%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -5.02%E -2.19%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -0.507%E -0.298%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.12%E -0.898%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 14:15 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 14:40 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-14 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.68%E -0.998%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.51%E -3.37%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 13:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 15:15 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.26%E -1.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.85%E -1.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.76%E -3.98%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 11:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 12:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.27%E -2.77%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -4.02%E -2.45%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -10.41%E -4.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.44%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 14:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.95%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:44 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 15:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 09:45 |
| Betway | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.71%E -0.719%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -5.77%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -12.07%E -5.70%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-14 11:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.36%E -3.97%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.94%E -4.37%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.70%E -5.58%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.84% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 41.16% | -0.0% | 2026-05-14 16:39 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |